Real estate investors were not part of that composition, as home sales surged and prices soared. According to CoreLogic, the share of home sales to investors, large and small, steadily increased during the pandemic, rising from about 14% in the spring of 2020 to a peak of 26.9% in October last year.
The data in the CoreLogic report produced by economist Thomas Malone is limited, covering only the fourth quarter of 2021 and unable to draw firm conclusions, but investors are rethinking their business strategy. It may indicate that early.
According to Moore, the investor portion fell for the first time since July 2020 the following month after occupying the largest share of home sales transactions in CoreLogic’s record in October. It wasn’t a big drop, it was 1.5 percentage points, but yearly-the share of home purchases was 20.4 percent.Moore said that although the share has declined, the absolute number of homes purchased is In line with historic winter investor activity.
As shown in Figure 2, the number of homes investors buy each month was fairly consistent before the pandemic, regardless of market movements as a whole. According to Malone, the trend line shows that the data for the first quarter of 2022 may indicate that: Investor share rose in January and February When owner-owned home sales slow down as is normal in winter.Owning a home is the most active summer months investor purchase and it tells us Whether investors buying liquor stay here Or if the investor returns to the pre-pandemic purchase level.
Since October, it is the buyers of large or institutional investors who appear to have reduced their purchases. Large investors are those who own more than 100 real estate, and their share of purchases has dropped from 26% in September 2021 to 20% in December 2021. With the same 50% purchase share as in December 2019, the investor purchase share by medium-sized investors (10-99 properties) peaked at 34% at the beginning of 2021 and reached 27% by the end of summer. It has dropped to.Small and medium-sized investors slightly increased their stocks at the end of the fourth quarter..
Investor purchases declined in all three price ranges. From October to December last year, purchases of the top one-third and middle-third of sales prices in each metropolitan area decreased by 6 points, accounting for 19% of bottom-tier transactions, 5 % Decreased.
The percentage of investor purchases that reversed within six months of purchase declined in the second half of 2021. By the end of the year, only 13.8% of the homes acquired by investors in June last year met the definition of reversal. This is a 0.8 point decrease from the previous June and a 1.3 point decrease from June 2019.
Malone said: A specific category of flippers, iBuyers, saw a sharp increase in activity between May and August 2021., Pull back a little towards the end of the year. These buyers liquidated most of the properties acquired between January 2019 and mid-2021 within six months, while properties purchased after June 2021 were at the end of the fourth quarter. Almost unsold at that point. He says it seems certain that most of them would have been sold in the first few months of 2022.
The authors conclude that the surge in investment reflected an unprecedented rise in home prices throughout last year, with an unexpected rise in the second and third quarters and a slight slowdown in the fourth quarter. .. However, there was also an unexpected increase in January. “Therefore, investor activity could rise in the first quarter of 2022, despite showing the first signs of a slowdown.”